The NIPCC - Interim Report 2011 updates their last 2009 Report, with an overview of the research on climate change that the IPCC did not see fit to print. Its published by the Heartland Institute with lead authors Craig D. Idso, Australian Robert Carter, and S. Fred Singer with a number of other significant contributions.
I am grateful for inclusion of some of my work in Chapter 6 on the uncertainty of the range-shift method for modeling biodiversity under climate change.
The controversy Read more [...] 5 com
The New Zealand Climate Conversation Group have released their report and reanalysis of the NIWA 7-Station Review. CCG claim NIWA misrepresented the statistical techniques it used, and exaggerated warming over the last hundred years.
The CCG results (Figure 20 above) prove there are real problems in the adjustments to temperature measurements for moves and equipment changes in NZ (also seen in Australia).
As any trained scientist or engineer knows, failure to follow a well-documented Read more [...] 2 com
Congratulations Julia and Wayne, on your new milestone - Australia's National debt has topped $200 billion after Labor borrowing $100 million per day.
Australia now has its largest debt in history, after we borrowed $3.2 billion over the last week. On 11 March 2009, Treasurer Wayne Swan invoked "special circumstances" to increase the debt ceiling to a "temporary" level of $200 billion. In the last budget the government has increased the debt ceiling permanently to $250 billion.
See the Total Read more [...] 3 com
Richard Treadgold from the New Zealand Climate Conversation Group reports on the Statistical Audit of the NIWA 7-Station Review, claiming that New Zealand's National Climate Center, NIWA, misrepresented the statistical techniques it used (Rhoades & Salinger - Adjustment of temperature and rainfall records for site changes) in order to fabricate strong warming over the last hundred years.
NIWA shows 168% more warming than Rhoades & Salinger – the method NIWA betrayed. The blue dashed Read more [...] 3 com
You have probably heard about Steve Jobs retirement from CEO at Apple. If like me, you find him an inspiration, you might enjoy this video from the Apple Music Event in 2001, "The First Ever iPod Introduction".
What I like is the steel-trap logic, the "quantum leap" vision, the love of speed, the sparse visuals, and the impeccable timing of the delivery. Read more [...] one
Lag or phase relationships are to me one of the most convincing pieces of evidence for the accumulative theory.
The solar cycle varies over 11 years on average like a sine wave. This property can be used to probe contribution of total solar insolation (TSI) to global temperature.
Above is a plot of two linear regression models of the HadCRU global temperature series since 1950. The time since 1950 is chosen because it is the period that the IPCC states that most of the warming has been Read more [...] 7 com
The point of this post is to show a calculation by guest, Pochas, of the decay time that should be expected from the accumulation of heat in the mixed layer of the ocean.
I realized this prediction gives another test of the accumulation theory of climate change, that potentially explains high climate sensitivity to variations in solar forcing, without recourse to feedbacks, or greenhouse gasses, in more detail here and here.
The analysis is based on the most important parameter in all dynamic Read more [...] 16 com
When the MSM reports on the commercialization of Ni-H cold fusion energy generation, they see parallels to the scientific treatment of AGW sceptics, citing "follow the money".
If this new technology is real, it should be easy to prove and past failures - and outside agendas - shouldn’t stand in the way. Still, scientific discovery is expensive and money is often the X factor. Fortunes and reputations are made and lost based on results. Orthodoxies develop that discredit ideas posing a threat Read more [...] 3 com
And the list of failures keeps growing.
1. Carbon Tax Lie – ‘There will be no carbon tax under the Government I lead.’
2. NBN – $50 billion Telstra subsidy
3. Building the Education Revolution – The school halls fiasco
4. Home Insulation Plan (Pink Batts) – Dumped after 3 deaths, and x house fires.
5. Citizens Assembly - Dumped
6. Cash for Clunkers – Dumped
7. Hospital Reform – Nothing
8. Digital set-top boxes – almost redundant technology that is cheaper at Harvey Read more [...] 5 com
The main candidate theories for low energy nuclear reactions involving Nickel-Hydrogen:
Polyneutron Theory of Fisher
Piantelli Hydride Capture Theory
Review Read more [...] none
Dr Art Raiche, Retired CSIRO Chief Research Scientist, at the No Carbon Tax Rally, 16 August 2011.
When you hear scientists telling you about the danger of global warming, ask them one question: "Who pays your salary?"
Read more [...] none
Do the results described here and here constitute a new theory? What is the relationship to the AGW theory? What is a theory anyway?
The models I have been exploring, dubbed solar supersensitivity, predict a lot of global temperature observations: the dynamics of recent and paleoclimate climate variations, the range of glacial/interglacial transitions, the recent warming coinciding with the Grand Solar Maximum, and the more recent flattening of warming.
They make sense of the statistical Read more [...] 4 com
Below is a worked example of the theory of high solar sensitivity, supersensitivity if you will, explained in detail in manuscripts here and here.
The temperature increase of a body of water is:
T = Joules/(Specific Heat water x Mass)
The accumulation of 1 Watt per sq meter on a 100 metre column of water for one year gives an expected temperature increase of
T = 32 x 10^6/(4.2 x 10^8)
= 0.08 C
Given that about one third attenuation of radiation from top-of-atmosphere to the surface, Read more [...] none
Some scientific beliefs are wrong on some of the facts all of the time. Beliefs such as the Ether filling space, Lamarkism, Four Humours make up everything, Sun circles the earth, and Canals on Mars all had the value of explaining some of the facts. They were pushed aside by new beliefs that explained more of the facts.
Some scientific beliefs are wrong on all of the facts some of the time. These include nine planets in the Solar System, atoms are not divisible into anything else.
Some Read more [...] one
Jim Hansen made his opinion of renewable energy clear in his latest newsletter.
[M]uch less than worthless. If you drink the kool-aid represented in the right part of Fig. 7, you are a big part of the problem.
...a humiliating assessment of the poster child of the Australian Intelligentsia coming from the author of the global warming scare.
More kindness than Jim is shown by Steve McIntyre in reviewing two other articles on renewables by representatives of green factions, when he concludes Read more [...] 2 com
Roy Spencer posted the following comparison between the 20th Century runs from most (15) of the IPCC AR4 climate models, and Levitus observations of ocean warming during 1955-1999. Here are the best 4 models:
The accuracy of the other models is far worse.
In Roy's assessment:
Previous investigators (as well as the IPCC AR4 report) have claimed that warming of the oceans is “consistent with” anthropogenic forcing of the climate system.
The actual rate of accumulated heat Read more [...] one
The physical structure of the oceans and atmosphere entails very long equilibrium dynamics due the slow accumulation of heat in the land and ocean. An ARMA analysis evaluates the potential of accumulation of solar anomaly to explain the global temperature changes over glacial/interglacial and recent time-frames.
Click image above for animation of the accumulation model for the 1950-2011 period.
The results of an early version of the accumulation theory are here.
Contrary to the consensus Read more [...] one
I have just uploaded a manuscript to the preprint archive viXra. ViXra is an interesting alter-ego to the other preprint archive arXiv. The goals of viXra are:
It is inevitable that viXra will therefore contain e-prints that many scientists will consider clearly wrong and unscientific. However, it will also be a repository for new ideas that the scientific establishment is not currently willing to consider. Other perfectly conventional e-prints will be found here simply because the authors were Read more [...] 3 com
Global Emission of Carbon Dioxide: The Contribution from Natural Sources by atmospheric physicist Professor Murry Salby, Chair of Climate, Macquarie University, talking at the Sydney Institute, on his conversion from agnostic to skeptic by his recent results on the natural origin of declining C12/C13 ratios in atmospheric carbon dioxide.
In his paper due out in early 2012, he claims results that invalidate the main conclusions of the IPCC 2007 report called the AR4. Previous research showing Read more [...] 4 com