Academics and Blogosphere Eat Rossi’s Dust

According to Rossi’s blog, Rossi is already self-manufacturing.

Hampus
October 30th, 2011 at 3:54 PM

Hi
Great work.
1. How many 1 megawatt plants can you sell in one year do you think?
2. When is the next sell?
3. When will the home plants be available for pursued?
I know time is of the essence, that’s why my questions are so rash. Thanks for you answers the mean alot for me.
Hampus Ericsson

Andrea Rossi
October 30th, 2011 at 5:56 PM

Dear Hampus:
1- From 30 to 100 for the first year is what we are already ready to make, but
we will get exponentially faster in time
2- done
3- this is a more complicated issue, because we need complex certifications
Warm Regards,
A.R.

Steven Krivit here, here, here and here shows climate skeptics a thing or two about how to really be a skeptic:

Fortunately, nobody appears to have given Rossi much money. But Rossi has abused the honest and sincere fans who have given him their moral support and encouragement. There is nothing wrong with wanting a new source of clean nuclear energy or wanting liberation from the petrocacy. I hope Rossi’s fans will remember their own dreams and desires for a better world and continue their enthusiasm for legitimate low-energy nuclear reaction research and technology.

And a good riff on what it would be taking to perpetrate a scam:

Unfortunately, if Rossi hired a bunch of actors to pretend to be the customer reps, created an elaborate year-long special-effects-derived series of demos, bribed, hypnotised or otherwise fooled Focardi, Levi, Kullander, Essen, Bianchini, Stremmenos and convinced a bunch of Greek crooks to set up a dummy company called Defkalion to pretend to fight with him over the non-existent eCat, to perpetuate the illusion and spin it off into a competing mirror-scam and convinced his former partners to set up another company called Ampenergo to pretend that they had a contract for The Americas for a substantial sum or that they just did this with no proof because they have worked with Rossi and trust him because he’s such a fine fellow, arranged for Piantelli, Miley and a host of others to try to fool the world into thinking that cold fusion was real, got NASA, SPAWAR, The Defense Threat Reduction Agency and The Defense Intelligence Agency to say nice things about the field, got Bushnell to make a fool of himself, sold his profitable company to his ex-partners in order to spend that wealth on a multi-million dollar scam; certain that once he got all the above ducks in a row he would pretend to sell the first device and then reel in the true target of his dastardly plan – the second (this time genuine) buyer of a 1MW plant that will net him $2 million dollars until they want their money back or sucker a $100 million dollar deal under the table because he has experience in pulling the wool over all these idiotic eyes and knows that they will just take his word for it and not want to test if his 1MW plant can heat a small village without truckloads of coal or oil or a big fat electric cable coming into the container from beneath the floor (no you can’t lift the carpet!) and that, in order to pull this off, Rossi had to risk discovery by interviewing all the people he subsequently fooled so that he could only invite the gullible Professors and not the brilliant anonymous posters on the Internet who surely would have found him out – then all bets are off and I’m with the guys who think that Rossi is an idiot and they are all geniuses.

Rossi’s E-Cat: A Black Swan Event?

Interest in cold fusion among the establishment science has always been lukewarm, to say the least.

Nobel-winning physicist Brian Josephson left a comment about Rossi’s test on Nature Magazine’s Seven days: 21–27 October 2011, that failed to report on the 1MW E-Cat test (on the 28th).

The real news is happening today in Bologna, where Andrea Rossi, as per schedule, is demonstrating his 1MW Ni-H nuclear powered reactor. This event will be ignored as usual by this journal*, but reports can be expected in the Swedish technology journal Ny Teknik , and the Italian science magazine Focus .

*as predicted with >99% certainty, on the basis of Bayesian statistics

To continue, following the event: the demo appears to have been successful; you can read a report “here”: http://pesn.com/2011/10/28/9501940_1_MW_E-Cat_Test_Successful/. It is anticipated that there will be an AP report in a few days’ time, after which event it may be difficult for Nature to continue to maintain its deafening silence over this development.

Dr John Wright, an advisor to CSIRO’s Sustainable Energy Partnerships, previous Director of the CSIRO Energy Transformed Flagship and Chief of CSIRO Energy Technology, described Australia’s energy strategy as plodding:

Now, I never discount the possibility of a disruptive technology – I often dream about being a developer of a disruptive technology, but I haven’t managed to do it yet, even though I spent a number of years in my shed trying to come up with something – something that will change the picture completely. Just look at what has happened over the past couple of decades. You just couldn’t imagine some of the changes that have occurred.

I must say that in the energy field they haven’t been all that quick and stunning, but perhaps its time is yet to come. There is something like a fourth generation nuclear technology that doesn’t produce any dangerous materials and is cheap – a variation of cold fusion, maybe. A method that turns water into its components, hydrogen and oxygen, cheaply using sunlight. There is a lot of work going on around the world on that at the moment. We have proponents of things like zero point energy, exploiting the weirdness of the quantum dimension.

Who knows what is going to come along. And perhaps we are going to need something like that to really get us to where we want to be. So pick your own energy breakthrough that will change the world. But I’m afraid in the meantime we’ll plod along with what we know now to push the edges of existing technology.

Things stand to get a lot more interesting.

1MW Test of E-Cat Today

Some links of interest for following the test of Rossi’s 1MW cold fusion reactor.

Daniele Passerini twitter feed (in Italian). Google Reader will translate it for you. He just claimed that Associated Press has the exclusive rights to the test today, so this one will get coverage.

Peswiki updates.

I will add more links as they come online.

Wired

Forbes

“Yes, It is a breakthrough.”

Video of the test – big, noisy.

Input (blue) and output (red) temperatures over time for the 1 MegaWatt E-Cat test at Bologna on the 28th of October 2011.

No Longer any Justification for a Carbon Tax

The main justification for a Carbon Tax has been that it is necessary in order to make lower-carbon technologies competitive with coal and gas. However, recent persuasive demonstrations of copious energy generation from a new technology based on a non-carbon nickel/hydrogen system show just how wrong this assumption is.

A significant announcement today from Defkalion, the on-off business partner of Rossi, indicates full production might be immanent.

The technological breakthrough of LENR (or CANR) is no longer speculation. It is a fact that will eventually change the world’s energy problems and its sociopolitical divides through cheap, clean and green energy. The world needs LENR as a new energy source. Although change will not happen over-night, LENR will help reduce CO2 emissions, lower the cost of energy, and provide longevity to our planet’s energy needs.

Defkalion sees its role with responsibility and asks the community at large to continue its support.

Defkalion has:
• Enhanced technology and engineering on Rossi’s invention or similar inventions
• Prepared business models for international expansion
• Established a strong network of global contacts
• Prepared legislative and certification procedures
• Ensured national, regional and international network in politics and business
• Prepared global financing

Defkalion has worked in close partnership with Andrea Rossi for a very long time to prepare a commercially viable and industrially applicable product using his invention. Defkalion invested a lot of money to evolve Rossi’s E-Cat lab prototype into its Hyperion product. Defkalion is now at the stage where its industrial prototype is ready for production.

Defkalion has held direct business discussions with 62 interested companies who visited our offices in Greece and witnessed our work. Small industry and large energy players internationally were all impressed by our progress in technology and engineering. More are still coming. Despite this phenomenal progress, Defkalion never made promises.

Our aim has always been to inform and demonstrate to public our progress when the final product is ready for use, thereby avoiding any speculations.

Rossi, however, seems determined to go it alone, continuing to solicit designs for a low-cost version of the E-Cat.

Hermain Cain 20% Up on GOP Contenders

Wow. Herman Cain is now 20% in front of his nearest GOP rival Mitt Romney. That’s 10% up in the last week.

His message. 9-9-9.

999 is the emergency number for a number of countries (but not the US where the number is 911).

Herman Cain has a degree in mathematics.

Cain’s 9-9-9 video concludes with text saying, “If 10% is good enough for God, then 9% should be just fine for the Federal Government.”

Praised by supporters for both its simplicity and its specificity, Cain’s plan drops the current 35 percent corporate tax rate to 9 percent, swaps the 6-bracket personal income tax system for a 9 percent flat tax and creates a 9 percent national sales tax.

The 9-9-9 plan eliminates the payroll tax and estate tax, which brought in a combined $883 billion in 2010, or about 41 percent of the $2.16 trillion collected by the federal government last year. Cain’s proposal also wipes out taxes on capital gains and repatriated corporate profits.

Cain is also a denier.

Watch the video. See the Left squirm.

Reflections on the Carbon Tax Vote

With the Carbon Tax legislation up for a vote on Wednesday, this is a critical week. Skeptics should embrace the challenge of communicating common-sense and logic over Green ideology. I feel strongly we should not give up, wave a white flag and surrender.

Every week there are more reasons not to pass this legislation. The global temperature continues not to rise. The ocean heat remains stable. Global warming appears to have peaked. More research is published showing flaws in previous studies used by the IPCC.

Even if global warming were a problem, which it is not, as hundreds of billions of tax-payer dollars have failed to find little more of concern than reduced Arctic ice, and reduced hurricanes, both of which are beneficial anyway.

But if it were, new technologies that are safe, cheap and produce abundant energy without CO2 emissions are right around the corner. Among the climate bloggers, I have been the first and consistently brought the Rossi E-Cat technology to your attention.

The E-Cat is a simple combination of nickel powder, hydrogen, a heater and a secret catalyst that produces abundant nuclear energy with very little radiation or radioactive by-products. People don’t get the importance of this yet. But you can buy one now. In 10 years this or a similar process will probably supply the majority of our power for a tenth of the cost of present sources.

The Greens say that its good to reduce our consumption of energy for the planet’s sake. That is utter nonsense. Energy use is directly correlated with human welfare, health, cleaner environment, and nature conservation.

Even if it does pass, the victory for the burgeoning bureaucracy and nervous ninnies will be temporary for two reasons:

1. With every passing year, as it has for the past decade, the temperature fails to meet the bogus model predictions, the poor science that bolstered this policy will be revealed to a poorer but wiser public.

2. As cold fusion technology takes off, the energy sources that need massive government subsidies like wind and solar will be first to go, then increasingly hydrocarbons, purely through market mechanisms.

Government intervention, research and carbon pricing will have contributed nothing. While ideologically motivated climate-science has left a bad taste, it will not last. The fruit of human ingenuity is sweet.

Rossi Seeks E-Cat Design “for the people”

Here is the text of Rossi’s appeal, following up from the Oct. 6 test:

“The E-Cat basic module “for the People”, that we will put in commerce within months, will be 40 cm long, 40 cm large, 40 cm high, will weight 60 kg, the shape of a cube. I need a design cheap ( I want to put it in commerce at a price of 500 euros per kW) but nice, very nice. I will buy the design which I will choose and everybody has my honour word that I will not use designs not paid. I need it within two months.

Go to the report of Nyteknik to see the pipes position: that will be it.

Please send proposals to info@leonardocorp1996.com

I am sure that from the enthusiasm od our Readers will pop up a masterpiece.”

— SilverThunder 08:05, 8 October 2011 (PDT)

Real-time updates

Oct 6th Report

Data plotted

There is absolutely, positively, no doubt that this system produced massive amounts of anomalous heat.

Jed Rothwell

Labor-Greens-Independent message to 4500 Australians: P*** Off

Menzies House reports on the latest efforts to suppress opposition to the Carbon Tax, as around 4500 Australians opposed to the carbon tax have had their submissions to the Joint Select Committee on Australia’s Clean Energy Future Legislation rejected out of hand.

The 4500 number was stated by Senator Birmingham on his website:

This rushed ‘shotgun’ inquiry received more than 4500 emails in barely a week, but in an extraordinary abuse of democratic process the Labor-Greens majority opted not to receive them as submissions or publish them.

The Coalition dissenting report details the disgraceful treatment of the Australian people here:

In this report of Coalition Members and Senators we have included the comments of hundreds of Australians – not just those few who appeared before the committee in its select few days of hearings in south-eastern Australia, or those professional organisations who made detailed submissions, but also many comments from the more than 4,500 people who made submissions to this inquiry, which the Labor-Greens-Independent majority refused to have published.

To the thousands of people who feel like Noel Bowman, who stated in his submission that ‘I suppose no one will ever read this submission and in consequence I am wasting my time’, the Coalition members say we have tried to give you a voice. We could not quote or reference everybody, but in contrast to Labor’s determination to shut people out of this process we were even more determined to ensure that as many voices as possible from across Australia were heard.

Anecdotal evidence shows an overwhelming bias towards submissions in favor of the tax. According to the Bolt’s conversation, submissions in opposition were largely binned, leaving distorted public record.

If this is so, while the comrades responsible conveniently “disappearing” the opposition to Australia’s Clean Energy Future Legislation may get a “well done” from the Brown/Gillard government, but the similarities to the Road to Serfdom by Friedrick Hayek are unsettling.

Renewables: Dumbest f***ing idea I have ever heard

Paraphrasing Steve Jobs — reasons not to pursue renewables:

1. Anti-environment. Increasing the concentration of generation allows larger areas of land to be retained in their natural state. In contrast, harvesting of land for biomass, wind or solar or energy damages more land. Advocates of renewable energy damn the natural environment with ugly, dangerous solar and wind structures.

2. Backwards. The progress of civilization is characterized by the utilization of denser, more intense energy sources. The inclination to dispersed energy sources is a form of neo-Luddism — opposition to modern technology.

2. Inadequate. It is difficult to generate the quantities of electricity as large as those produced by traditional generators. This means renewables assume we will reduce the amount of energy we use, either by voluntary or pricing mechanisms. Some Greens don’t even balk at a $500 per tonne tax, about x5 the wholesale cost of coal.

3. Expensive. We will pay more, and industries will be less competitive. Even at the most favorable low end of the cost estimate, the total cost of wind power was really around 6-7 cents per kWh approximately double the cost of new gas-fired electricity generation–and triple the cost of existing underused generation.

5. Up-front cost. The current capital cost of renewable energy technology is also far in excess of traditional fossil fuel generation.

6. Unreliable. Renewable energy relies on the weather for its source of power. When these resources are unavailable so is the energy, and so larger reliable generators are required for backup.

7. Climate-change dependent. The viability of renewables is contingent on the urgency of CO2 reduction action, and so on the immanent threat from climate change. Contrary to predictions of climate models, actual temperatures appear to be stabilizing, and extreme events like hurricanes decreasing.

8. Taxation. JoNova maps the Climate Change Scare Machine Cycle: how tax dollars are converted into threatening messages by well-funded scientist/activists, rubber-stamped by a compliant media, and converted into massive tax-funded subsidies from a duped public.

Cap and trade is actually a giant scheme to tax and redistribute, for the benefit of political insiders.

9. Brain-damaged. Dangerous exposure to the opportunist rhetoric of eco-activists like the WWF, such as the following from the Australian Academy of Science:

Likewise, our approach to infrastructure development needs to be holistic and many-faceted. A report
commissioned by WWF Australia states:

… modelling finds that there are sufficient low emission energy resources, energy efficiency opportunities and emissions reduction opportunities in non-energy sectors to achieve reductions of 60 to 80%, and even emissions reductions of 90% or more if livestock emissions are reduced; and that there is sufficient time for the low emission technologies and services to grow at sustainable rates if development starts promptly.

10. Alternatives. Despite the risks, conventional fission nuclear is a viable alternative, and new, safe, conventional and low emission nuclear technologies are commercially available.

11. Vanity. Its hard to find a renewable energy article without the words “energy revolution” in them. What is it about renewables that attracts the Marxist narratives? Could the writers be attracted to an agenda that requires the individual-crushing social control, and big-government intervention inherent to Marxism?

12. Ineffective. The idea that renewables will reduce greenhouse emission is itself of dubious merit, as Peter Lang crunches the numbers and finds solar and wind power do little for greenhouse gas reduction.

And for those erudite academics who would take offense at my characterization of renewables as the dumbest f***ing idea I have ever heard, I give “Benjamin Franklin: Philadelphia, Serendipity, and a Summer Storm” by Dr. Bryen E. Lorenz. Quoting at length in response to the British Board of Ordinance effort in 1776 to protect its gunpowder from lightning strikes:

The question eventually became whether a pointed or blunt lightning rod end should be used in this application. Franklin, who was appointed a member of the committee, recommended a pointed end which was based on his earlier kite experiment. One dissenter on the committee had opted for a blunt end. Nevetheless, the committee’s recommendation was for a pointed end. King George III angered by Franklin’s political views, had asked Sir John Pringle, president of the society, to give an opinion in favor of the blunt end. Pringle replied that, “The laws of Nature were not changeable at royal pleasure.” To this the King indignantly responded, “…by the King’s authority that a president of the Royal Society entertaining such an opinion ought to resign.” Pringle promptly resigned. The London gossip soon found an apt verse to relish the moment.

While you, great George, for safety hunt,
And sharp conductors change for blunt,
The nation’s out of joint.
Franklin a wiser course pursues,
And all your thunder fearless views,
By keeping to the point.

Rossi NyTeknik Report

The NyTeknik Rossi report, translated to English.

As in previous tests, the start-up was effected by heating the E-cat with an electrical resistor at about 2.7 kilowatts, this time for about four hours, in order to achieve, according to Rossi, sufficient stability.

The power to the resistor was then switched off, and the reactor functioned in self sustained mode for about three and a half hours, with no measurable signs of decrease (see detailed report and temperature data).

The ‘energy catalyzer’ is loaded with nickel powder and a number of secret catalysts and is pressurized with hydrogen gas. Excess heat is possibly produced via an unknown nuclear reaction, involving nickel and hydrogen.

Sweet Thursday for Rossi Followers

Initial reports of the ongoing test of Rossi’s ECat in Italy are positive. The 1MW unit was also on display.

Having followed this story from the beginning, maintaining The Future is not Green, but Grey I congratulate Mr Rossi and all involved.

Lets see, some likely, and not so likely, predictions:

  • There will be a massive fire-sale of renewable energy products that have been underwritten by Government spending of billions of dollars, as it plays an decreasingly important role in Australia’s energy mix.
  • CSIRO renewable energy researchers commit collective intellectual Seppuku.
  • Within 10 years LENR will supply the majority of energy supply at one tenth of the cost.
  • The US economy rises again on the backs of a new technology, as the patent holder, Rossi, and supporters of the technology are affiliated with the US,
  • Massive geopolitical shift, as economies cut the UN and traditional oil-producing countries adrift.
  • Technologies based on massive power inputs, like desalination and irrigation on massive scales, become practical.
  • Climate scientists think up new scary scenarios based on excessive release of latent heat.

Reactor Self Sufficiency

Staying up following the twitter feed of Rossi’s event here by Daniele Passerini (http://22passi.blogspot.com). Its in Italian, but if you subscribe in Google Reader, it will be translated.

10:08pm 22passi: Reactor self-sufficiency!

More info: http://peswiki.com/index.php/News:Real-Time_Updates_on_the_October_6%2C_2011_E-Cat_Test

Wired is first: http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2011-10/06/e-cat-cold-fusion

Oct 6th 2011 – The Day the World Changed

The upcoming test of Rossi’s reactor is scheduled for Oct 6th at the University of Bologna, Italy, the oldest continuously operating university in the world.

The calorimetry will be more rigorous than before. There will be a primary steam loop, a heat exchanger, and a secondary flowing water loop. The reactor will be run in heat after death mode for extended periods. If things go according to plan, this will be much better than previous tests, and may be definitive.

If so, we will witness the opening of a new chapter in human civilization.

UPDATE: Twitter feed of the event here.