Newt Gingrich recovered strongly to pip Romney at the post for the South Carolina Primary in a race with a number of reversals, shown clearly in the Gallup Daily Poll above. In the end it wasn't close with Newt 40 to Mitt 28%, as shown on this cool Google App. So the race of 2012 is turning out to be far more exciting than predicted, and with Mittens fading in the polls, the big-heads who named Mitt Romney a shoe-in for the nomination must be feeling the heat. The results in SC reflect Read more [...] none

The GOP primaries race took another twist on a recount today, with the reversal of the win by 8 votes by Romney in Iowa, to a win by Santorum by 34 votes. The score for Romney is now 0-1, spoiling his chance of a hat-trick win in South Carolina. The Gallup daily tracking poll today shows the reversals in sentiment going in the South Carolina race. Read more [...] none

Support for Ron Paul's ideas is growing in Australia as shown by some recent pro-Paul posts at prominent blog sites: Jennifer Marohasy Ron Paul for US President, On-line Opinion Left's Profitable Pauline Conversion JoNova and In 2002 Ron Paul saw the next ten years coming. Further support can be seen on Facebook, with of the Australian Ron Paul pages are merging into a single page Australians for Ron Paul 2012. I try to reserve my judgement on winners, and study the trends of Read more [...] none

Two things I have noticed while tracking polls that differentiate Ron Paul's from the others. The way support for Ron Paul is firming from the twitter tracking Eg. Support for Mittens has a tendency to droop suddenly, with tweets about him dropping almost to zero, but RP stays firm throughout. I think people are running out of things to talk about him, as they have with the other candidates. But RP at least gives people a hopeful, positive conversational thread. Perhaps that is how elections Read more [...] none

One of the themes we have dealt with repeatedly is bias: in global warming reporting and research, especially statistical bias. Bias in the media against the Ron Paul campaign is becoming a big issue. Above is a clip of people telling Dana Bash, a CNN news reporter, what they thought of her biased reporting. One incident was were Dana reported that Republicans in general were worried "like I am" that RP would continue on and hurt her presumptive nominee Mitt Romney. In another hilarious Read more [...] none

November 20, 2008 Ron Paul said in a New York Times / Freakonomics interview: “I try to look at global warming the same way I look at all other serious issues: as objectively and open-minded as possible. There is clear evidence that the temperatures in some parts of the globe are rising, but temperatures are cooling in other parts. The average surface temperature had risen for several decades, but it fell back substantially in the past few years. Clearly there is something afoot. The question Read more [...] 11 com

What an exciting days racing in New Hampshire in the Tour de President! As expected, Mitt Romney in the yellow jersey after his (disputed) win in Iowa, with his lycra and billion-dollar techno-bike, opened up a commanding gap from the peloton, but Ron Paul riding his $10 Malvern star and air force scrubs stayed with him and was actually gaining a couple of points a day (RPs speech here). Ron Paul and Rand Paul "I Went" photo goes viral. The press dishonored themselves again with some of Read more [...] one

Using realtime trends in Twitter to track frontrunners Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich.

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Click here. Libertarian Dr Ron Paul gets more than all of the others combined.

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A couple of new entries in the links section: Sabermetric Research does it own sports research and reviews statistical studies of sports research. I added this after reading one of my Chrissy gifts - Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game - by Michael Lewis, now a movie starring Brad Pitt, a David vs Goliath story of stats over precedent. Status Iatrogenicus by Scott K. Aberegg, M.D., and ER physician in Salt Lake City who also has a Medical Evidence Blog I follow. This blog is about Read more [...] none