rzqeat0 | test …

ftp://ftp.bom.gov.au/anon/home/ncc/www/change/HQannualT/HQannualT_info.pdf

But I still like this take on the T&N ‘adjustments’; with our host taking a leading role in the commentary in the QLD in Jones sequel;

http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1492

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/19/impacts-of-land-use-land-cover-change-on-climate/

Another paper based in the US is here;

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/11/georgia-tech-50-percent-of-the-usa-warming-that-has-occurred-since-1950-is-due-to-land-use-changes/#comments

Obviously some land use changes would have a cooling effect but given Stewart Franks new paper which shows that an increase in temperature doesn’t cause an increase in evaporation, would a dam have a cooling or a warming effect?

The main finding was that coastal stations had barely changed in Tmax or Tmin in that 40 years, while inland stations had a trend upwards of up to 2 deg C per century. This has to be a transient or instrumental effect, because if you project it for a few decades forwards or back, you get seemingly impossible numbers.

Then I wondered if the data were adjusted. There is relevant information in the CRU leaks, for example see this trail from “Marine Shale” on CA, who is a mystery name to me.

Marine_Shale (16:54:20) :

The official Australian temperature record is also based on significant “adjustments’ of raw historical data.
The main adjustments were made by Torok and Nicholls in 1996 and then a few more adjustments were done by Paul Della-Marta in 2000.
to my knowledge this process has never been properly audited, but from a few stations that I have checked I see that there is a similar lowering of temps in the early part of the records and a raising later on.
All the data can be found in this folder.
ftp://ftp2.bom.gov.au/anon/home/bmrc/perm/climate/temperature

Within the last URL there is a section named 08/02/1999 12:00AM 26,328 alladj.utx.Z

(This is one higher directory level up from the page that opens, under “annual”)

It gives the dates and magnitudes of step changes to raw data for many stations that became part of the Reference Climate Station Network. Changes range from +7 deg C to -5.5 deg C (though many of the bigger ones are in the 1800s), seemingly often for the reason that they looked better eyeballed that way. At least, I think that code “o” allows for eyeballing.

The alladj.utx.Z opens up with this at the start (then a whole lot of data, small bit given here)

Key

Station
Element (1021=min, 1001=max)
Year
Type (1=single years, 0=all previous years)
Adjustment
Cumulative adjustment

Reason : o= objective test
f= median
r= range
d= detect

documented changes :
m= move
s= stevenson screen supplied
b= building
v= vegetation (trees, grass growing, etc)
c= change in site/temporary site
n= new screen
p= poor site/site cleared
u= old/poor screen or screen fixed
a= composite move
e= entry/observer/instument problems
i= inspection
t= time change
*= documentation unclear

01013 1021 1968 0 -1.3 -1.3 fda
01013 1021 1925 0 +0.3 -1.0 od
01013 1001 1980 0 +0.2 +0.2 odb
01013 1001 1968 0 -0.6 -0.4 orda
01013 1001 1942 0 +1.3 +0.9 ord
01013 1001 1921 0 -0.4 +0.5 ord
02012 1021 1985 0 +0.6 +0.6 ord
02012 1021 1959 0 -0.3 +0.3 od
02012 1021 1947 0 +1.3 +1.6 oda
02012 1001 1982 0 -0.4 -0.4 or
02012 1001 1975 0 +0.2 -0.2 o
02012 1001 1966 0 -0.5 -0.7 ord etc etc for 2,800 lines

Station 01013 is Wyndham WA. Station 02012 is Halls Creek Airport WA. These are Australian station numbers, different to World numbers. They are on BOM sites online.

This is the first time I have had a chance to get an eye an Australian data before it was adjusted. The moves are huge and sometimes questionable.

The Torok & Nichols paper has a longer explanation for adjustments.

Torok, S. and Nicholls, N., 1996. An historical
temperature record for Australia. Aust. Met. Mag. 45, 251-260.

“Abstract
A high-quality historical surface air temperature data
set, for mean annual temperatures, has been prepared for
Australia by adjusting data for inhomogeneities caused by
station relocations, changes in exposure and other
discontinuities. An objective procedure was developed for
determining the necessary adjustments. Station history
documentation was also used for this purpose. Time-series
of annual mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures have been produced for 224 stations. Trends in annual mean
maximum, minimum, the mean of the maximum and minimum,
and the range between maximum and minimum, have been
calculated at each site. The data set provides adequate
spatial coverage of Australia back to 1910 for the
production of all-Australia average temperatures. Maximum
and minimum temperatures have increased since about 1950,
with minimum temperatures increasing faster than the
maximum temperatures. “(Much more detail is in the body of the paper, of course).

So far as I can tell, the data that are online for BOM and Australian Weather News are adjusted and are NOT raw. To the extent that data sets are adjusted, you will get a different analysis each time you use a different set.

The 1940s “bump” might coincide with a lot of airfields built in the tropics and weather stations shifted there. Also, in the 1989-94 period there was a changeover from mercury max-min thermometers to thermocouple types with half-hourly recording.

I hope this helps with understanding.

Do you know of a paper by Pielke Sr which looks into this? I would enjoy having a look at that!