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	<title>Niche Modeling</title>
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	<link>http://landshape.org/enm</link>
	<description>The power of numeracy</description>
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		<title>CSIRO and BoM Report</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/csiro-and-bom-report/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/csiro-and-bom-report/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Mar 2010 00:50:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3980</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A short post, but it doesn&#8217;t take much to show that CSIRO and BoM are telling porkies again in their just released State of Climate report.  Just click here to get a graph showing the INCREASING trend in rainfall.
The report states:
2. Rainfall
While total rainfall on the Australian continent has been relatively stable &#8230;

The fine [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/csiro-and-bom-report/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>8</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Independent Confirmation of Beenstock&#8217;s Theory</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/testing-beenstock/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/testing-beenstock/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 05:23:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3952</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Beenstock&#8217;s radical theory needs to be tested.  As discussed here, he proposed that CHANGE in greenhouse gases (delta GHGs or dGHGs) not absolute values produces global warming.  A simple test is to develop linear regression models predicting temperature, with and without GHG and dGHG.  If Beenstock&#8217;s theory is correct, then models containing [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/testing-beenstock/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>13</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Cointegration Summary</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-summary/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-summary/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Mar 2010 06:53:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3943</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It’s incredible that a global warming theory could agree with both the IPCC (discernable anthropogenic influence) and the sceptics (low long term risk from emissions) but there you are.  The analysis of Greenstock suggests it is not the amount of greenhouse gasses, particularly CO2, in the atmosphere that contributes to global warming, but the [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-summary/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>43</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Cointegration + Sea Level</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-sea-level/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-sea-level/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 12:39:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3917</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sea level data from Church appear be integrated as I(1).
     d       Root        ADF      Padf
[1,] 0  0.9713052 -0.8354583 0.9561317
[2,] 1 -0.2771277 -5.8808801 0.0100000
[3,] 2 -1.1410606 -8.1287823 0.0100000
As does Jevrejeva&#8217;s data set from 1700.
 [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-sea-level/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Cointegration</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 20:37:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Theory]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3888</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So now the fun starts.  We have established the integration order of the variables in the RadF file, we impose the rule that only variables of the same order can be combined, and in particular that they cannot be cointegrated with temperature which is I(1).  In this case all the anthropogenic variables in [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>17</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Integration Order of RadF.txt</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/integration-order-of-radf-txt/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/integration-order-of-radf-txt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 19:55:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Theory]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3876</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The test of integration order from the previous post is applied to the major atmospheric forcings used in the GISS global climate models in recent years. These are available for 1880 to 2003 in a file called RadF.txt  The codes for the forcings are self explanatory:  W-M_GHGs,   O3,  StratH2O,  [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/integration-order-of-radf-txt/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>13</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Cointegration Primer II</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-primer-ii/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-primer-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 13:06:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3864</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here we generate and test a number of series with different integration order I(n) and polynomial order O(n).  The test is the Augmented Dickey Fuller test, one of the most well known of the unit root tests.  Beenstock used three tests, because the tests for unit roots are known to have low power.

The [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-primer-ii/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>10</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Cointegration Primer</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-primer/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-primer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 02:12:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3861</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A draft of a paper by Beenstock and Reingewertz has surfaced in the blogosphere, but there seems to be confusion about what unit roots and cointegration are, and I can’t find anywhere on the web that explains them simply for the average Joe.  Given one can’t understand the paper without a good grasp of [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/cointegration-primer/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Vindication</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/vindication/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/vindication/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2010 07:04:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3854</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A rash of stunning turnarounds have vindicated years of effort by climate sceptics.  The day after ClimateGate broke I made three predictions:
. Disband the entire Federal Department of Climate Change along with all the individual State Departments of Climate Change. 
. Vote down the Emissions Trading Scheme Legislation.  
. Cancel Copenhagen.   [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/vindication/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Hyperbole</title>
		<link>http://landshape.org/enm/hyperbole/</link>
		<comments>http://landshape.org/enm/hyperbole/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 20:58:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Stockwell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://landshape.org/enm/?p=3847</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[From Nature (see http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo761.html):
&#8220;The precipitation anomaly of the past few decades in Law Dome is the largest in 750 years, and lies outside the range of variability for the record as a whole, suggesting that the drought in Western Australia may be similarly unusual.&#8221;
Climate science has a colorful history of hyperbole: hurricanes, droughts, floods, fires, [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://landshape.org/enm/hyperbole/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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