http://landshape.org/enm/improved-predictions-of-warming-induced-extinctions/ The Power of Numeracy Wed, 16 May 2012 18:37:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 http://landshape.org/enm/improved-predictions-of-warming-induced-extinctions/#comment-5962 Niche Modeling » Global Temperatures 2008 Tue, 18 Mar 2008 20:47:40 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/improved-predictions-of-warming-induced-extinctions/#comment-5962 [...] Predicting global temperatures seems to be entering general awareness as a worthwhile exercise. As I have published about recently, I think climate models are inadequately validated, confidence in the skill of models to forecast global warming is vastly exaggerated, and current skill is not enough to serve useful purposes. I thought I would tabulate some of the various predictions as I come across them. This is a fair test, as the future is unknown, and at the end of the year we can see whose is most accurate. [...] [...] Predicting global temperatures seems to be entering general awareness as a worthwhile exercise. As I have published about recently, I think climate models are inadequately validated, confidence in the skill of models to forecast global warming is vastly exaggerated, and current skill is not enough to serve useful purposes. I thought I would tabulate some of the various predictions as I come across them. This is a fair test, as the future is unknown, and at the end of the year we can see whose is most accurate. [...]

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