“How much do I fail thee. Let me count the ways”
Ben Santer’s latest model/observation comparison paper demonstrates that climate realists were right and climate models exaggerate warming:
The multimodel average tropospheric temperature trends are outside the 5–95 percentile range of RSS results at most latitudes.
Where do the models fail?
1. Significantly warmer than reality (95% CI) in the lower troposphere at all latitudes, except for the arctic.
2. Significantly warmer than reality (95% CI) in the mid-troposphere at all latitudes, except for the possible polar regions.
3. Significant warmer that reality (95% CI) in the lower stratosphere at all latitudes, except possibly polar regions.
Answer: Everywhere except for polar regions where uncertainty is greater.