Comments on: Statistics of Global Warming: Sentiment Models http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/ The Power of Numeracy Wed, 16 May 2012 18:37:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: Niche Modeling » Garnaut Report Due http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4178 Niche Modeling » Garnaut Report Due Thu, 03 Jul 2008 20:23:02 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4178 [...] I made a submission, along with 4000 others, summarizing the sensitivity testing and conversations with Rahmstorf over a one page article published in science, claiming that the climate was responding at a faster rate than the climate models predict. It turned out the article was eerily prescient, marking the start of an over 12 month decline in global temperatures dubbed ‘Rahmstorf’s drop‘. I think it is supposed to be getting warmer, not colder. We looked at this article in detail here. In a series of exchanges with Rahmstorf documented here, it was apparent that the uncertainty was too large to support the claims made by Rahmstorf et al. 2007, and that he had no idea of how the dubious, ad hoc end-point smoothing procedure worked. Despite its obvious severe limitations, Ramstorf et al. 2007 was the sole basis for the previous Garnaut report’s concern that climate change was an urgent problem that must be hastily addressed. It will be interesting to see how he thinks climate change will affect the Australian economy, if Rahmstorf’s drop continues to bring lower global temperatures. [...] [...] I made a submission, along with 4000 others, summarizing the sensitivity testing and conversations with Rahmstorf over a one page article published in science, claiming that the climate was responding at a faster rate than the climate models predict. It turned out the article was eerily prescient, marking the start of an over 12 month decline in global temperatures dubbed ‘Rahmstorf’s drop‘. I think it is supposed to be getting warmer, not colder. We looked at this article in detail here. In a series of exchanges with Rahmstorf documented here, it was apparent that the uncertainty was too large to support the claims made by Rahmstorf et al. 2007, and that he had no idea of how the dubious, ad hoc end-point smoothing procedure worked. Despite its obvious severe limitations, Ramstorf et al. 2007 was the sole basis for the previous Garnaut report’s concern that climate change was an urgent problem that must be hastily addressed. It will be interesting to see how he thinks climate change will affect the Australian economy, if Rahmstorf’s drop continues to bring lower global temperatures. [...]

]]> By: Demesure http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4177 Demesure Tue, 10 Jun 2008 23:11:00 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4177 @22 Rahmsdropf ? @22 Rahmsdropf ?

]]> By: Demesure http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7212 Demesure Tue, 10 Jun 2008 23:11:00 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7212 @22 Rahmsdropf ? @22 Rahmsdropf ?

]]> By: admin http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4176 admin Tue, 10 Jun 2008 04:26:52 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4176 I like that. It shall refer to it as Rahmstorf's drop from now on. I like that. It shall refer to it as Rahmstorf’s drop from now on.

]]> By: admin http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7211 admin Tue, 10 Jun 2008 04:26:00 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7211 I like that. It shall refer to it as Rahmstorf's drop from now on. I like that. It shall refer to it as Rahmstorf’s drop from now on.

]]> By: Jan Pompe http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4175 Jan Pompe Tue, 10 Jun 2008 02:32:48 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4175 Lucia, I don't think Stefan Rahmstorf's drop has quite finished yet we might have to wait and see. Lucia,

I don’t think Stefan Rahmstorf’s drop has quite finished yet we might have to wait and see.

]]> By: Jan Pompe http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7210 Jan Pompe Tue, 10 Jun 2008 02:32:00 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7210 Lucia, I don't think Stefan Rahmstorf's drop has quite finished yet we might have to wait and see. Lucia,

I don’t think Stefan Rahmstorf’s drop has quite finished yet we might have to wait and see.

]]> By: lucia http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4174 lucia Mon, 09 Jun 2008 21:04:12 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4174 The Hockey Stick publication seems to have had the largest effect. Sort of like Pinatubo or maybe even Krakatoa. Oddly, An Inconvenient Truth had a lesser effect. But who knows what an opera could do. The Hockey Stick publication seems to have had the largest effect. Sort of like Pinatubo or maybe even Krakatoa. Oddly, An Inconvenient Truth had a lesser effect. But who knows what an opera could do.

]]> By: lucia http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7209 lucia Mon, 09 Jun 2008 21:04:00 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-7209 The Hockey Stick publication seems to have had the largest effect. Sort of like Pinatubo or maybe even Krakatoa. Oddly, An Inconvenient Truth had a lesser effect. But who knows what an opera could do. The Hockey Stick publication seems to have had the largest effect. Sort of like Pinatubo or maybe even Krakatoa. Oddly, An Inconvenient Truth had a lesser effect. But who knows what an opera could do.

]]> By: Fresh Bilge » Inside Info http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4173 Fresh Bilge » Inside Info Sun, 08 Jun 2008 11:57:19 +0000 http://landshape.org/enm/statistics-of-global-warming-sentiment-models/#comment-4173 [...] Bonus: Global warming hype causes global cooling. Posted at 6:57 AM | | [...] [...] Bonus: Global warming hype causes global cooling. Posted at 6:57 AM | | [...]

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