The IPCC, in the AR4 working group one, stated what could be called the central claim of global warming, the estimate of the net radiative forcing.

“The understanding of anthropogenic warming and cooling influences on climate has improved since the TAR, leading to very high confidence that the effect of human activities since 1750 has been a net positive forcing of +1.6 [+0.6 to +2.4] W m–2.”

Remember a forcing is an imbalance that causes heating, like a hot plate heating a saucepan of water. While the forcing continues, the temperature of the water will continue to rise. Global warming is the theory that increases in anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere are producing a radiative imbalance, or forcing, causing the earth to warm dangerously.

The IPCC level of forcing equates to the stated estimates for doubling of CO2 from around 1.5 to 6C per doubling, and the central estimates of warming to the end of the century from increasing CO2 of about 3C.

The paper by Levitus et al. uses the array of ARGO floats, and other historic ocean measurements, to determine the change in the heat content of the ocean from 0 to 2000m, and so derive the actual net radiative forcing that has caused it to warm over the last 50 years.

“The heat content of the world ocean for the 0-2000 m layer increased by 24.0×1022 J corresponding to a rate of 0.39 Wm-2 (per unit area of the world ocean) and a volume mean warming of 0.09ºC. This warming rate corresponds to a rate of 0.27 Wm-2 per unit area of earth’s surface.”

To compare these figures, say the continuous top-of-atmosphere forcing is 1Wm-2, a figure given by Meehl and Hansen and consistent with the IPCC estimates. The forcing of the ocean from a TOA forcing of 1Wm-2 is a lower 0.6m-2 due to losses, estimated by Hansen.

The best, recent measurements of the forcing 0f 0.3Wm-2 are half these IPCC estimates. The anthropogenic component of the forcing is even less, as a large part of the 0.3Wm-2 in the last 60 years is due to increased solar insolation during the Grand Solar Maximum.

This mild forcing is right in the ballpark that skeptic scientists such as Lindzen, Spencer, Loehle and Idso (and myself) have been consistently saying is all that is justified by the evidence. It appears that Levitus et al. confirms the skeptics, and the IPCC has been falsified.

What commentary on Levitus do we hear from the alarmists? Skeptical Science ignores that the IPCC has been exaggerating the net forcing, and attempts to save face:

“Levitus et al. Find Global Warming Continues to Heat the Oceans”

Skeptical Science “Put this amount of heat into perspective”, in a vain attempt to sound an alarm by quoting a scenario that is almost insane, having a infinitesimally small probability of happening.

“We have estimated an increase of 24×1022 J representing a volume mean warming of 0.09°C of the 0-2000m layer of the World Ocean. If this heat were instantly transferred to the lower 10 km of the global atmosphere it would result in a volume mean warming of this atmospheric layer by approximately 36°C (65°F).”

To do this, heat would have to defy all known physics and move backwards, from the boiling water to the hot plate.

The ocean is a big place. The best evidence is that its heating very slowly, much slower than the IPCC projected, and just as the skeptics predicted. The ARGO floats are arguably the most important experiment in climate science. It is all about good science: directly measuring the phenomenon of interest with sufficient accuracy to resolve the questions.

UPDATE: data1981 explains.

It’s definitely a confusing issue. What we’re talking about here is basically the amount of unrealized warming, whereas the radiative forcing tells you the total net energy imbalance since your choice of start date (the IPCC uses 1750). So they’re not directly comparable figures.

The unrealized warming has been fairly constant over the past ~50 years whereas the radiative forcing increases the further back in time you choose your initial point. So if you look at the unrealized warming starting at any date from 1950 to 2010, it will be a fairly constant number. But the radiative forcing from 1950 to 2010 is larger than the forcing from 1990 to 2010, for example.

Hopefully I got that right.

No he didn’t.

UPDATE: Roger Pielke Sr has a post on this topic.

Pingback: My Homepage

Pingback: locksmith near me

Pingback: locksmith service

Pingback: accident lawyer

Pingback: Homestsay

Pingback: see this

Pingback: Visit this site

Pingback: this web site is the best to list a spare room for rent to a student

Pingback: www.upstatesurgeryhq.coM

Pingback: carpet cleaning central coast

Pingback: http://www.recipeshome.net/recipe-type/desserts

Pingback: Burbank

Pingback: waunakee chris duren

Pingback: http://LEARN-HANGUL.COM

Pingback: Who is the best tile grout company in Chicago

Pingback: boosterclick.co.uk

Pingback: Hire Best web design San Antonio Texas

Pingback: Birmingham

Pingback: Josiesque

Pingback: vmaz.de

Pingback: rooms for rent

Pingback: make money online

Pingback: panorama condo price

Pingback: crest condo

Pingback: promote your business

Pingback: top property agents in singapore

Pingback: friv games

Pingback: loan

Pingback: get the facts

Pingback: angry bird games

Pingback: p5 maths

Pingback: sam waltonman

Pingback: city gate

Pingback: locksmith finder

Pingback: Viio singapore

Pingback: for more information comma

Pingback: iherb coupon

Pingback: click here for more

Pingback: clik here to subscribe

Pingback: highline residences tiong bahru

Pingback: Navigate To This Website

Pingback: android hack

Pingback: best hack

Pingback: Blog

Pingback: buy cialis

Pingback: Kazakh National Medical University in Almaty

Pingback: giochi per ragazze da colorare

Pingback: giochi moda

Pingback: Company

Pingback: Ideas

Pingback: Technology

Pingback: Info

Pingback: Best Marketing Tools

Pingback: Tech

Pingback: ifunbox

Pingback: dead trigger 2 hack ios

Pingback: keel neuken in

Pingback: Throne Rush Gems hack

Pingback: tanki online cheats

Pingback: urologist

Pingback: tanki online crystals generator

Pingback: Start

Pingback: Advogado familia

Pingback: Logo design

Pingback: Finance

Pingback: the muscle maximizer

Pingback: Hair growth tonic

Pingback: capture his heart

Pingback: Liberty

Pingback: mark cobb

Pingback: hairy anus

Pingback: alkaline ionized water

Pingback: Trading

Pingback: Business

Pingback: iherb coupon

Pingback: workout obsession

Pingback: triche jeux

Pingback: iherb promo code

Pingback: Blogs on Roleplay Social - Browse user created blogs

Pingback: Camp

Pingback: odziez dziecieca

Pingback: Technology

Pingback: clash of clans hack

Pingback: School

Pingback: Process Servers in Chicago, IL

Pingback: artwork

Pingback: Diindolylmethane

Pingback: clash of clans hack

Pingback: reise sparen

Pingback: old vintage romance novels

Pingback: Clothing

Pingback: mt4 programmer

Pingback: interior design ideas bedrooms

Pingback: book of ra deluxe

Pingback: ppi claims

Pingback: kratom shop

Pingback: how you can help

Pingback: Athens Ga roofing

Pingback: roofing plano texas

Pingback: Auto Home Insurance Quotes

Pingback: ????? ?????

Pingback: oceanfront

Pingback: Free Website Traffic

Pingback: compare auto insurance news

Pingback: Mynt Products

Pingback: Click here

Pingback: fat burning recipes

Pingback: creare site

Pingback: LINK M88

Pingback: cheap whole term life insurance

Pingback: bird

Pingback: Real Estate Downers Grove IL

Pingback: geo tv live

Pingback: backpacking tips

Pingback: large tree removal conroe

Pingback: muscle gaining secrets program

Pingback: duct cleaning houton

Pingback: Art Nouveau Designs

Pingback: help moppy

Pingback: Horses for sale

Pingback: social media in pueblo Colorado

Pingback: Pokrov spiritually religious movement

Pingback: kitchen design layout

Pingback: how to become an emt

Pingback: Discount car insurance providers

Pingback: logo for business

Pingback: learning for toddlers

Pingback: courier insurance

Pingback: ???Ω????Σ ??????????? ?Θ??? ????Σ

Pingback: alkaline water

Pingback: ceus for massage therapy

Pingback: berita hari ini

Pingback: click on this page

Pingback: Madimo

Pingback: paul pogba

Pingback: laptop backpack

Pingback: kaffeevollautomat keramikmahlwerk test

Pingback: Download, ME530, Reset waste ink

Pingback: Property By Owner List Foreclosed Real Estate Denver CO

Pingback: Orange County Bail Bonds

Pingback: grow box

Pingback: Wp Weekend Phoenix

Pingback: denver strippers

Pingback: hefalimp cardijon

Pingback: Why You Can't Trust this Man....

Pingback: theme party ideas

Pingback: Green tea

Pingback: this site has good information

Pingback: spelautomater

Pingback: twilight zombies

Pingback: fajsdgjfashdjfaksjdhkfa

Pingback: Exclusive shirts

Pingback: best seo company

Pingback: this link

Pingback: 332 Se Douglas St. Lee's Summit, MO 64063

Pingback: Dallas remodeling

Pingback: sprzedaz folii termokurczliwej

Pingback: Johnny Law Motors

Pingback: Best 3D Printer

Pingback: http://www.wynajem-warszawa.info/

Pingback: How to become free of supermarkets and drugstores

Pingback: APARTMANI U BEOGRADU

Pingback: Montblanc Scratch Remover

Pingback: chicken coop ideas

Pingback: get rid of mices

Pingback: credit report gov

Pingback: click here

Pingback: additional reading

Pingback: havearkitekt

Pingback: Learn More Here

Pingback: expendables 3 for free

Pingback: site web

Pingback: download pdf here

Pingback: saraswatichandra

Pingback: look at this web-site

Pingback: find this

Pingback: generic ed pills

Pingback: online slots

Pingback: expendables 3 cz download

Pingback: download expendables 3 teaser

Pingback: Entrepreneur

Pingback: go!!,

Pingback: visit homepage

Pingback: eamil video maketing

Pingback: how to earn money fast

Pingback: Simmons

Pingback: download english The Expendables 3

Pingback: their website,

Pingback: free download The Expendables 3 online

Pingback: snack ideas for diabetics

Pingback: agencja reklamowa

Pingback: Stena

Pingback: diseno de interiores de casas

Pingback: Las Vegas Show Tickets

Pingback: RecTec Grills

Pingback: car shows

Pingback: apartament Gdansk

Pingback: home

Pingback: macarons te koop

Pingback: kangen water

Pingback: 4 weeks uk loan

Pingback: chwilówki

Pingback: marynarki meskie

Pingback: newspaper obituaries

Pingback: business consulting calgary

Pingback: your sins

Pingback: oklahoma city plumbers

Pingback: Supply Chain

Pingback: antalya escort

Pingback: whole body vibration

Pingback: submit website

Pingback: Computer Repair in Essex

Pingback: warehouse miami

Pingback: alkaline water

Pingback: Tanning Lotion

Pingback: Geeks To Gladiators

Pingback: web link

Pingback: paddle hair brush

Pingback: send a press release

Pingback: Health & Safety

Pingback: fashion

Pingback: hoeren in

Pingback: nail fungus

Pingback: pointblank

Pingback: the lovelady center birmingham al

Pingback: starrett 505p-7 miter saw protractor

Pingback: buy google plus promotion

Pingback: top ecommerce

Pingback: Tube Viper X Reviews

Pingback: fiverr backlinks

Pingback: karaoke birmingham chinatown

Pingback: home staging

Pingback: sex

Pingback: Water Heater Repair Denver

Pingback: Chicago appliance repair service

Pingback: william hill free bet

Pingback: nutribullet pro 900 series review

Pingback: m88 com

Pingback: minoxidil

Pingback: sky lanterns

Pingback: Ami Emigholz

Pingback: Eda Boomershine

Pingback: San Antonio attorney Alexander Begum

Pingback: vogelperspektive

Pingback: review of GreenSmoke

Pingback: dog ear cleaning

Pingback: Companies In The United States

Pingback: Ogloszenia Przemysl

Pingback: Deals

Pingback: m88.com

Pingback: Discounts

Pingback: youtube

Pingback: click here

Pingback: read more

Pingback: review

Pingback: sports

Pingback: vitiligo new treatment 2014

Pingback: indian hairstyle

Pingback: Binary Options Education course

Pingback: badcreditloan

Pingback: improve alexa rank

Pingback: Unseen Cars Accidents - Stunts

Pingback: partagas cigars

Pingback: buy cigars

Pingback: Cheap Custom Designed Websites and Marketing Programs

Pingback: escort london

Pingback: Home Business

Pingback: ?Î´??Ï?Î±Ï???? ÏÏ? ???µÎ±??Î±

Pingback: massage home study massage

Pingback: cuban cigars

Pingback: habanos

Pingback: DOLCE E GABBANA

Pingback: naked

Pingback: Garcinia Cambogia extract hca

Pingback: GreenSmoke review

Pingback: dating in london

Pingback: Lookup by Phone

Pingback: instagram users search engine

Pingback: memory game

Pingback: fifty shades intimate guides

Pingback: kezia pick up artist

Pingback: m. marcus

Pingback: Boulevard3

Pingback: CLick Here

Pingback: web hosting profits

Pingback: hair system replacement

Pingback: Stumble Leads

Pingback: affiliate marketing

Pingback: metatron cube

Pingback: Countertop Installation

Pingback: cozy cove

Pingback: please click the next site

Pingback: Flat Fee MLS Realtor IL

Pingback: review shakeology

Pingback: health

Pingback: Illinois Flat Fee MLS

Pingback: restore my vision today reviews

Pingback: Mortgage brokers

Pingback: great powerpoint presentations ppt

Pingback: los angeles traffic lawyer 2.62M 20

Pingback: tech

Pingback: irvine auto repair

Pingback: Mayweather vs Maidana

Pingback: frau befriedigen

Pingback: graphic design

Pingback: on demand maid service new york city

Pingback: Skip Tracing

Pingback: Menambah Likes Instagram

Pingback: One little mortgage website that could save you hundreds!

Pingback: Everything you've ever wanted to know about Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) but were afraid to ask

Pingback: 12 questions every borrower should consider before refinancing

Pingback: Simple document list every borrower needs to know

Pingback: eye exam and glasses

Pingback: Email processesor wanted

Pingback: cube world gameplay 2013

Pingback: Halifax Homes for Sale

Pingback: Portland OR For Sale By Owner

Pingback: YOGA HK

Pingback: paginas web nicaragua

Pingback: facial moisturizer

Pingback: hd wallpapers

Pingback: tarot

Pingback: gordas historia de una batalla

Pingback: kits

Pingback: health

Pingback: teen fantasy novels

Pingback: disco lights

Pingback: MovieStarPlanet Cheats

Pingback: dwi book

Pingback: lastenvaatteet

Pingback: optimizare online

Pingback: Offer Wall

Pingback: dogs training

Pingback: Bodyguards

Pingback: Network Support

Pingback: Cool status for whatsapp

Pingback: see this here

Pingback: juicy couture online

Pingback: Cialis

Pingback: openappmkt

Pingback: New Life ESL Reviews

Pingback: Games and softwares free download

Pingback: architekt wnetrz kraków

Pingback: buy hydrocodone

Pingback: izmir escort

Pingback: m?s informaci?n

Pingback: buy hydrocodone

Pingback: youcat workbook

Pingback: study guide cpc exam

Pingback: best lasik surgery

Pingback: Norske bedrifter

Pingback: buy adderall

Pingback: cash for gold

Pingback: click aqu?

Pingback: Work at From Home

Pingback: fifa15betacodes.bittz.net

Pingback: race cycler comp plan

Pingback: destination voyage de noce

Pingback: this link

Pingback: go here for review

Pingback: international courier services in malakpet

Pingback: icmeler transfers

Pingback: Tempe Glass Repair

Pingback: webshop

Pingback: ??????

Pingback: click at this website

Pingback: cheat tool

Pingback: Exterminator Service Houston Texas

Pingback: This Kid Will Inspire You More Than Anything In The World

Pingback: FanDuel Promo Code

Pingback: notepad bluebox

Pingback: epub gratis

Pingback: teen app

Pingback: teen dating

Pingback: emotional intelligence training

Pingback: badmintonschläger

Pingback: Cheapest house insurance

Pingback: treadmill review site

Pingback: bridal lehenga

Pingback: driving theory test uk phone number

Pingback: dubai angels

Pingback: buy a house in cardiff

Pingback: giochi di cucina gratis

Pingback: Cheapest insurance quotes

Pingback: foder conas peludas

Pingback: bets10

Pingback: quotes for vehicle insurance

Pingback: free online video slot games

Pingback: Citibank Locations

Pingback: crockery

Pingback: gold ira companies list

Pingback: pro solution

Pingback: iPad Case For Hiking

Pingback: Lettings agent surbiton

Pingback: kitchen fitters manchester

Pingback: Sports wagering

Pingback: celebrity leaked photos

Pingback: kickstarter

Pingback: hotel furniture manufacturers

Pingback: no root hack

Pingback: Luxurious wallet

Pingback: meditation musics

Pingback: website design perth

Pingback: police shootings

Pingback: seo web design

Pingback: perth seo company

Pingback: hotmail correo

Pingback: Sad Poetry

Pingback: I buy homes cash

Pingback: Cialis

Pingback: Amazon Case

Pingback: banana blue

Pingback: perth web

Pingback: musica

Pingback: chris brown x album download zip sharebeast

Pingback: guided meditation success

Pingback: kliknij link

Pingback: http://www.ath-m50.net/

Pingback: loyal 9 marketing scam

Pingback: App Videos

Pingback: Spa parties for kids

Pingback: shop style

Pingback: cerro el avila

Pingback: Washington DC Movers

Pingback: hecigarette review

Pingback: grosir tas dan dompet murah

Pingback: Cheap Twitter Followers

Pingback: lose weight

Pingback: blog sobre la alcachofa de laon

Pingback: Caller ID Revenue

Pingback: Learn Hacking Online

Pingback: learn more

Pingback: sehack

Pingback: home elevator cable

Pingback: szkola plywania slask

Pingback: Social Code Sharing

Pingback: apartamenty wroclaw

Pingback: linked here

Pingback: pret sur salaire

Pingback: konverteringsoptimering

Pingback: Skull TShirts

Pingback: ????? ????

Pingback: walnut creek cleaning service

Pingback: Calculate the date of birth hijri

Pingback: online business

Pingback: watches tag heuer

Pingback: Office Decoration

Pingback: pw pal c844i

Pingback: filtros de agua

Pingback: sprawdz sam

Pingback: posizionamento google

Pingback: binary options demo account

Pingback: Go paperless for only ?39/Month

Pingback: alldoza.net/beatstore

Pingback: guttering Surrey

Pingback: portable atm hire

Pingback: event atms

Pingback: Zebra Printer Repair

Pingback: Kırşehir Evden eve Nakliyat

Pingback: alaska fishing trips

Pingback: baby gender old wives tales

Pingback: alaska fishing trips

Pingback: visit our website

Pingback: theplumbingcure.com

Pingback: send food stuff to abroad

Pingback: sub zero freezer repair cheap 90024

Pingback: ogrzewanie akumulacyjne

Pingback: Video Games

Pingback: biuro nieruchomosci szczecin

Pingback: bikini workouts

Pingback: Garage door spring

Pingback: fifa 15 ultimate team coins

Pingback: rive-sud

Pingback: larin chat

Pingback: larina igraonica

Pingback: Julefrokost

Pingback: Facebook cover

Pingback: Buy Soundcloud Comments

Pingback: bob nokley

Pingback: Coaching e Consultoria

Pingback: medials

Pingback: Indian catering

Pingback: Bridal Brooch

Pingback: ca personal injury lawyer

Pingback: www.homebasedjobsinsights.com/finding-legit-work-at-home-jobs/

Pingback: tamashebi

Pingback: khuda aur mohabbat title song mp4 download

Pingback: Words that Sting: How to handle destructive criticism like Jesus

Pingback: Lefty O'Doul's

Pingback: chocolate eggs

Pingback: School trial meta trader 4

Pingback: I Show You How To Exclude Customers From Your Facebook Ads

Pingback: supra trainers uk

Pingback: eye cover for sleeping

Pingback: digital signage linux

Pingback: sport fat burners

Pingback: zqazesxctyguhnkntgc

Pingback: money back shop

Pingback: california seo company

Pingback: ebay promo code Sept 2014

Pingback: Xtrasize efectos secundarios

Pingback: underwater pipeline repair

Pingback: health blogs for women

Pingback: Discover Your Inner Coding Wizard

Pingback: fgfjgjhgfjhdfhjgjhgjl

Pingback: Massillon Municipal Court

Pingback: Nigerian Movies

Pingback: ways to make money as a stay at home mom

Pingback: hostel w poznaniu

Pingback: minecraft mapy

Pingback: cyklinowanie parkietu warszawa

Pingback: taxi-finder

Pingback: work from home

Pingback: vbmnxcbahgeugnvd

Pingback: dead target game cheats

Pingback: Celebrity Pictures

Pingback: Kosmetik online shop

Pingback: Tacori Engagement rings

Pingback: go pro youth ministry

Pingback: Designer Engagement Rings

Pingback: iphone unlock usa

Pingback: iphone 6 unlock

Pingback: stabilizatory kolan

Pingback: Web Design Netherton

Pingback: retro

Pingback: jawatan kosong

Pingback: robotics

Pingback: buy pocket folders

Pingback: WebForum

Pingback: esxrtgvbijnmuntfcyg

Pingback: numatic

Pingback: Reklaminiai straipsniai

Pingback: asian flush

Pingback: wzxecruhnmikbrxse

Pingback: asian flush

Pingback: More Help

Pingback: Read This

Pingback: xarelto lawsuits

Pingback: ????? ???? ?????

Pingback: kostnad jurist

Pingback: Vbulletin

Pingback: cocktail shaker set

Pingback: Aprender ingles

Pingback: online dating free

Pingback: qaxsexdrvtgbhncrxsez

Pingback: Ablution units, Kitchen Cabins

Pingback: work at home edu reviews

Pingback: kraus sinks

Pingback: taxi service to orlando airport

Pingback: offshore windpark

Pingback: 5c iPhone repair

Pingback: SEO

Pingback: Marilyn Iafrate

Pingback: Domy pod klucz poznan

Pingback: szkolenia bhp poznan

Pingback: vbzmxcbjsdhgfwegurfsbdf

Pingback: meilleur alarme maison

Pingback: witryna